NFL PoundtoThousand
American football betting is a completely different ball park to classic football. With a much greater scoring margin to football (scoring a single point on its own isn't even possible), and much shorter odds on favourites due to the near impossible chance of a draw (or 'tie'), handicap betting holds the best value.
With each team's handicap offering odds of just under evens, usually 10/11, the stake is being almost doubled per correct pick. In addition to handicap betting, the over/under line holds the same odds, with the bookies assigning their total points prediction and asking you to say if there'll be more or less.
The calculations
Of course, standard gambling principles apply, but if we are to just say 'What If' for a moment, here's how the pound would multiply over the weeks, assuming each choice has odds of 10/11.
Week 1: £1.91
Week 2: £3.65
Week 3: £6.97
Week 4: £13.31
Week 5: £25.41
Week 6: £48.51
Week 7: £92.61
Week 8: £176.80
Week 9: £337.53
Week 10: £644.38
Week 11: £1230.18
Week 12: £2348.53
Week 13: £4483.56
Week 14: £8559.52
Week 15: £16340.90
Week 16: £31196.27
Week 17: £59556.52
But week 17's a long way off. 60k would not be too bad though, fingers crossed.
How Handicap Betting Works
Each game will be given a points handicap by the bookies, for example: New England (-10) vs Buffalo. The handicap is used to alter the full time result, so calling a win on its own is not good enough. If New England win 24-10, then they win with the handicap, as the handicap score (after deducting 10) is still 14-10. However, if Buffalo were to win, or lose by less than 10 points, 17-14 for example, they are the handicap winners, as after the handicap (New England -10) the final handicap score is 7-14 to Buffalo.
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