Friday 24 August 2012

Pick #3 - Peterborough United vs LEEDS UNITED

Doncaster left it late midweek to beat a 10 man Bury, but the ball keeps rolling. Burton had a more than convincing 6-2 win against Wimbledon and Huddersfield nabbed a late point against the impressive Nottingham Forest. Wednesday was a day of temptation; impatience left we wondering whether or not to choose Chelsea at 3/10 against Reading. Nothing more than timing prevented me from placing the last minute bet, a decision that left me with relief at half-time and regret at full-time.
 
This weekend's fixtures look very interestingly priced. The heaviest major favourite is Manchester United at home to Fulham, priced as low as 1/5 with some bookies. Chelsea are around 1/2 against Newcastle, surprisingly heavy considering the calibre of their opposition. With Chelsea's shaky albeit productive opening pair of wins, Newcastle hold some serious value as an outsider at 6/1.
 
Sunderland seriously tempted me earlier in the week; they're 4/5 in their first home game to Reading. My only problem is how willing Reading may be to settle for a point if they were to sneak an early lead. Everton are away at Aston Villa; going off the two team's opening games Everton may hold the edge. Cardiff's odds have been shortening down to 6/5; they play away to Bristol City, who were terrible last year at home but managed an impressive 4-1 win earlier in the week against Crystal Palace.
 
Like Cardiff, Middlesborough are another team to be potentially pushing for promotion this season. They host Crystal Palace this week at the Riverside who don't look too impressive so far. Notts County are losing value at home to Walsall, down from 5/6, now as low as 6/10. A treble of Everton, Cardiff and Notts County can pay as high as 10/1 dependant on the bookmaker.
 
My pick this week is not one I hold complete confidence in. The price is tasty, with £6.08 returns off £2.70, but that's only with a win. Peterborough have had a nasty start to the season, losing their first two games, one against a Millwall side that they may not be too far from come the end of the season. However, this also means that they need to grab something at home this weekend.
 
Leeds have had a difficult off-season; Warnock's used an inadequate budget to built a surprisingly solid defence. Going forward they do lack creativity, but the likes of Becchio and McCormack are more than capable of finishing whatever chances they get. Ultimately, of the two sides on the pitch this Saturday, Leeds are the superior, and if this game were played at Elland Road, the Yorkshire side would be a banker. I can see Peterborough eventually picking up how they looked early on last year; an entertaining, creative side with a chance of beating anyone on the day. Just, not yet.
 
Where these sides currently are, Leeds look the much better. This week does hold much more of a 'gamble,' but if the prediction pays off, its one step closer from a pound to a thousand.
  

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