Friday 31 August 2012

Pick #4 - Southampton vs MANCHESTER UNITED

First and foremost, Leeds finished with a 2-1 away win against the struggling Peterborough last week, who don't look in much better shape travelling to Birmingham Saturday. Chelsea and Man United justified their favoured priced, and Everton proved a sensible pick.

Sunderland's game was rained off, a real Premier League rarity in the modern day. Bristol City slotted away four more against a Cardiff side that are yet to show their best - I was a second away from choosing Cardiff over Leeds last week. Notts county also lost to big underdogs Walsall by a single late goal.

Midweek's cup fixtures were swerved for good reason, as shown by Blackburn and Leicester's losses. Looking to this weekend, only City are heavily priced, 2/9 at home to the mid-revolution QPR. Looking to the lower leagues, Yeovil are off to a flying start, and are priced around 6/4 at home to Doncaster. After announcing plans for a Jessica Ennis stand, Sheffield United host Bournemouth, priced about evens. MK Dons host Carlisle at a similar price.

As always, value can be found in the championship, with Middlesborough 2/1 away at Millwall. Blackburn head to Leeds in what I can see being a score draw, with the draw priced at 5/2.

The Prem holds some interesting fixtures Sunday; Aston Villa look no more promising than last season, and have to travel to St. James Park to face Newcastle, who are favoured at 4/6. Liverpool host another top club, with the draw a possibility again at 5/2. The correct score of 1-1 is relatively short at 6/1 odds.

My pick this week is another away favourite; Manchester United. Despite an opening loss to Everton, and shaky moments against Fulham, Man United are ultimately one of the best sides in the country. Southampton followed an impressive fight against City with a home loss to Wigan, making a bounce back on national TV this weekend essential. The major reason for this week's pick is a consistent theme; Manchester United are the better team and the quality on paper is far superior. The beauty of the Premier League is how anybody can beat anybody on the day. All we can go off is logic, and the quality of players like Van Persie do outweigh the talents of Southampton, a team I believe will stay up this season.

Pick #4 - MANCHESTER UNITED to beat Southampton within the 90 minutes at 1/2.


After this week (providing United win) the money will be paid in and bets will be placed online; shorter odds from bookmaker shops have cost me 25% already.

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